Portugal, Malta, Gibraltar, Iceland and Finland are all expected to be on the “green list” when international leisure travel resumes on May 17, according to the travel expert.
Paul Charles, chief executive of Travel Consulting at Computer Agency, said most parts of Europe are expected to be amber when the UK traffic light system comes into play.
In a series of tweets, he identified 24 countries that would likely be declared green from the start, “based on vaccine rates, infection rates, evidence of variables, and data quality.”
Outside Europe, Charles said a number of destinations in the Caribbean were likely to be green, mentioning Barbados, Grenada, Saint Lucia, Antigua and Jamaica, as well as the British Overseas Territories of Anguilla, Bermuda, the Cayman Islands, Montserrat, Turks and Caicos. British Virgin Islands, Ascension, South Georgia, Saint Helena, British Antarctica and Pitcairn Islands.
Mr. Charles predicted that Israel, Morocco and the Falkland Islands were also among the shoes on the green list.
The popular holiday areas in the Maldives, Seychelles and Sri Lanka are not expected to be green at this time due to the increases in infection rates that may be related to the Indian type of virus.
“Cyprus is also a concern due to a 100% increase in infections in the last month,” said Mr. Charles. “It’s number one on our chart.”
He shared a chart compiled by a Personal Computer Agency looking at four sets of data: the percentage of the population who received one dose of the vaccine; Cumulative number of infections per 100,000 people over the previous 7 days; Cumulative number of infections per 100,000 people in the past 14 days; The percentage change in infections for 14 days compared to the previous week.
Under Cyprus, Turkey, Bahrain, Sweden and Croatia.
By the end of June, most of Europe is expected to turn green, along with the United States.
Mr. Charles believes that the government will announce full traffic light lists on May 6 or 7, before confirming on May 10 that travel can begin on May 17.
Under the new system, each country will be identified in red, amber or green.
Each color comes with a different set of rules depending on the risks of importing new cases of Covid into the UK.
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All passengers traveling to the country must present a negative Covid test result prior to departure – rapid antigen, side-flow and PCR are all acceptable.
Then, the green nations will have the lighter restrictions, as those arriving in England are required to have one PCR test within two days of arrival.
Travelers from the Amber countries will have to take two PCR tests, one on day two and one on day eight, and a 10-day quarantine at home – although they can cut out self-isolation in England if they choose to pay for another PCR test on day five.
Passengers from the Red List countries will continue the same system in force now, and pre-reservation is required for an 11-night stay in a quarantine hotel and a test on the second and eighth day. The package currently costs £ 1,750 for a single traveler.
The Independent Contact the Ministry of Transportation for more information.