As the numbers show, the proportion of people over 80 dying from Covid in England and Wales has plummeted since the launch of a vaccination campaign in the UK.
At the peak of the first wave, older people accounted for 68% of all coronavirus lethal outcomes. But in the past month, only 40 percent of people with the disease were 80 or older.
Experts say the introduction of the vaccine has made a difference. LEGEND figures show that 95 percent of people over 80 have been fully immunized.
But they warned that the trend will return to what it was before during the pandemic as the injection campaign continues as more young people are protected from the virus.
This could be further exacerbated by the easing of restrictions next week, when the number of infections is projected to skyrocket to more than 100,000 each day.
The third wave began in young people, which skewed mortality numbers slightly, but the infection is now on the rise in older people, who still face an increased risk of death.
This comes after the UK reported 63 Covid deaths yesterday, the highest daily rate since March.
Communication between infection and admission to hospital and death, weakened by the vaccine, but not completely ruptured.
At the peak of the first wave last March, more than two-thirds of coronavirus deaths in England and Wales were in people over 80. But since the beginning of the year, the proportion of people in this age group dying from the virus has tended to decline, accounting for only 40 percent of deaths in recent weeks.
This graph shows the proportion of people with Covid who die from the disease, by age group. At the onset of the pandemic, the risk was about 10 percent (0.10) for those over 75, but it was only 2 percent (0.02) for those between the ages of 65 and 74. Vaccine introduction began in January, but the risk of dating is still higher for people over 65.
The number of people dying from Covid every day jumped 63 yesterday, 80 percent more than 35 recorded seven days ago, the highest daily rise since March. Despite the rise in the number of deaths, they are still well below the levels recorded in the first and second waves, when infections were at the same level as now.
The latest government figures show that 87.5% of all people over 18 in the UK have received a single dose and 67.1% of the population is fully immunized. A total of 46 million first doses were administered in the UK, while 35.3 million people received both doses.
The table above shows the risk of dying from Covid after contracting the disease at the peak of the second wave in January, the first column, and now that more than half of all people in the UK have received two doses of the Covid vaccine, the second column. The estimates were calculated by scientists at the University of Cambridge and are for England only. In general, across all age groups, every 90 (1.1%) of those who contracted the virus died of the disease on the darkest days of January. By comparison, less than one in 1,000 (0.085 percent) of those infected died in June. Among people over 75, only 2.1 percent of those infected with the virus died from the virus in June, up from 17 percent in January. But for children and adolescents, the risk of dying from the virus remained virtually unchanged from January (0.0015 percent) to June (0.0011 percent).
The SAGE estimates that Brits with a double injection are 91 percent less likely to be hospitalized with the virus and 96 percent less likely to die from Covid.
And individual researchers at the University of Cambridge say the overall death rate from the virus dropped to one in 1,000, up from one in 100 on the darkest days of the first wave.
But the death rate among the elderly is still high: 2.2 percent of those over 75 are expected to die.
The success of the vaccine introduction is reflected in the ONS figures on the number of people who have died from the virus.
At the start of the pandemic last March, about half of all Covid deaths were in people over 80, and four out of 10 were in people over the age of 70.
Meanwhile, only one percent of deaths occurred in people under the age of 40.
But this year, the death rate among people over 80 has dropped to about 50 percent, while the percentage of deaths among people between the ages of 40 and 60 has increased.
In the six weeks to 2 July, the death rate fell even lower, with people in this age group accounting for just four out of 10 deaths from Covid.
Dr. Jamie Hartmann-Boyes, Senior Fellow in Evidence-Based Medicine at the University of Oxford, told MailOnline: “Vaccines have proven to be a tremendous success in preventing coronavirus deaths.
And one of the many ways that this is apparent is that the proportion of people dying from Covid is lower in older age groups than in previous waves.
“Currently, older age groups are more likely to receive both doses of the vaccine.
“As the UK vaccination program continues to unfold, the majority of the UK adult population will eventually receive both doses, regardless of age.
“At this stage, we can return to a higher proportion of total deaths from Covid in older age groups.
“The best thing anyone can do to protect themselves is to do both doses of the Covid vaccine when offered.”
The latest government figures show that 87.5% of all people over 18 in the UK have received a single dose and 67.1% of the population is fully immunized.
A total of 46 million first doses were administered in the UK, while 35.3 million people received both doses.
Despite the rise in the number of deaths, they are still well below the levels recorded in the first and second waves, when infections were at the same level as now.
Since the start of the pandemic, 128,593 deaths have been attributed to the virus.
Solicitor General Lucy Fraser warned today that isolation restrictions will need to be re-enacted if the third wave reaches “unacceptable levels.”
Meanwhile, Chris Whitty yesterday warned at the Science Museum Britannia “Not out of the woods yet” but is “in much better shape” thanks to the vaccination program and Covid drugs.